{"id":9004111222022235,"date":"2023-12-04T11:59:43","date_gmt":"2023-12-04T16:59:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/3c98cd88ae.nxcli.io\/?p=9004111222022235"},"modified":"2023-12-14T10:50:17","modified_gmt":"2023-12-14T15:50:17","slug":"the-swing-voter-project-arizona-november-2023","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sago.com\/fr\/resources\/blog\/the-swing-voter-project-arizona-november-2023\/","title":{"rendered":"The Swing Voter Project, Arizona: November 2023"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Swing Voter Project, an ongoing collaboration between Sago and Engagious<\/a>, checked in with Arizona voters for its latest round of focus groups. In these online sessions, swing voters \u2013 those who voted for Donald Trump in 2016 and Joe Biden in 2020 \u2013 share their thoughts on key political topics concerning their country and state.<\/p>\n

Context for the Arizona Swing Voter Group<\/h3>\n

Historically, Arizona voters have chosen Republican candidates in presidential elections. In fact, Republicans carried the state in every presidential race from 1952 through 2016, except for 1996, when Bill Clinton took Arizona\u2019s electoral votes.<\/p>\n

After Trump won in Arizona by a narrower margin than expected in 2016, the state was considered a critical battleground state in 2020. Biden won in Arizona in 2020, with .3 percent margin, which was around 10,000 votes.<\/p>\n

In November 2023, we asked 11 swing voters in the state about Biden\u2019s time in office, the 2024 presidential race and the Israel-Hamas War.<\/p>\n

On Presidential Health<\/h3>\n

When asked if President Biden seemed to be showing signs of senility, three of the 11 participants said yes. They expressed concern for his health.<\/p>\n

\u201cHe looks like he is stumbling a lot, so there\u2019s a balance issue.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

\u201cHe makes me feel the country is frail.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

Voting in the 2024 Election<\/h3>\n

If the candidates in the 2024 race for presidency are Biden and Trump, eight of the respondents would choose Biden. Three of them would select Trump. But Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is in the race, and three of the Biden voters would vote for him. All three Trump votes would choose RFK Jr. instead.<\/p>\n

\u201cI don’t have faith in Trump and I’m losing faith in Biden. I think a fresh new face in the White House might be what the country needs.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

On Biden\u2019s Campaign Ad<\/h3>\n

Focus group participants were shown a 60-second TV spot from the Biden campaign with the message \u201cAmerica is back.\u201d This message did not resonate with them.<\/p>\n

\u201cI wanted to laugh in the middle of it. America\u2019s back, better than ever? Our deficit is so large, it\u2019s mind-boggling. Inflation\u2019s high. Unemployment \u2013 you can spin that rate however you want, but people are getting laid off left and right.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

\u201cWe\u2019re not back. We\u2019ve entered onto a good path, but there\u2019s still a lot more to do.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

On Biden\u2019s Challenger<\/h3>\n

The focus group members were shown an uncaptioned photo of Dean Phillips, the U.S representative from Minnesota, challenging Biden for the 2024 Democratic Party nomination. None of them could identify him. Still, six of the 11 focus group participants thought it was good that there was someone to challenge Biden for the Democratic nomination.<\/p>\n

After seeing one of his campaign ads that\u2019s been shown in New Hampshire, here\u2019s what they thought:<\/p>\n

\u201cHis message was just really cheesy. I just didn\u2019t take what he said seriously.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

\u201cHe reminded me a little bit of Biden and his friendliness and folksiness.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

\u201cIt was very casual, and I have higher expectations than a casual president of the United States.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

On Biden and His Response to The Israel-Hamas War<\/h3>\n

The respondents were asked about the Israel-Hamas War and how it relates to President Biden. None of them went so far as to say that they disapproved of Biden\u2019s response<\/a> to the conflict. And no one believes that Trump would do a better job responding to the crisis in Gaza than Biden has.<\/p>\n

However, only three approved of how Biden has been managing the situation.<\/p>\n

\u201cI think that Biden, by sending in an appropriate show of military force with the two carrier groups, is inhibiting the other state actors, such as Iran, from, entering into the fray. It\u2019s a measured approach to try to prevent the spreading of the conflict, not getting the U.S. directly involved, but showing support for our ally out there.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

\u201cI think we have to support our partners. Obviously, if they need the help, it needs to be reciprocated. They need to give us something in return, but I think that we need to support our allies.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

\u201cI’m not ready to say approve or disapprove yet. I think he’s taking a cautious approach. That’s what I approve of, his cautiousness.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

The Top Issue<\/h3>\n

In October, four days after the Israel-Hamas War began, the Swing Voter Project asked 11 voters in Georgia<\/a> about the conflict. None of them were worried about the war escalating into World War Three. Just one month later, during the Arizona focus group, 10 of the 11 respondents were concerned about World War Three.<\/p>\n

\u201cI just feel that this could expand if it’s not controlled.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

\u201cThe weaponry has gotten to the point where it very easily could become global if certain spots in the region are hit.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

To hear more about what voters think about the 2024 election, the Israel-Hamas War, and other current events, check out the Engagious channel on YouTube<\/a>. Join us again next month for the final round of Swing Voter Project focus group discussions in 2023.<\/h4>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Discover what swing voters in Pennsylvania think about Biden\u2019s health, the 2024 presidential election and the war in Gaza. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":9004111222022400,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"aside","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"content-type":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[13932],"tags":[16537,10,16546],"video":[],"filter_name_method":[13952],"filter_name_product":[],"class_list":["post-9004111222022235","post","type-post","status-publish","format-aside","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blog","tag-insights","tag-qualitative","tag-swing-voters","post_format-post-format-aside","filter_name_method-qualitative"],"acf":[],"featured_image_src":{"landsacpe":["https:\/\/sago.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/Website-Images-800x533-1-800x445.png",800,445,true],"list":["https:\/\/sago.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/Website-Images-800x533-1-463x348.png",463,348,true],"medium":["https:\/\/sago.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/Website-Images-800x533-1-300x200.png",300,200,true],"full":["https:\/\/sago.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/Website-Images-800x533-1.png",800,533,false]},"yoast_head":"\nThe Swing Voter Project in Arizona - 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