{"id":9004111222026624,"date":"2024-10-22T16:52:25","date_gmt":"2024-10-22T20:52:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sago.com\/?p=9004111222026624"},"modified":"2025-04-23T10:40:10","modified_gmt":"2025-04-23T14:40:10","slug":"swing-voter-project-october-2024-pennsylvania","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sago.com\/en\/resources\/insights\/swing-voter-project-october-2024-pennsylvania\/","title":{"rendered":"Swing Voter Project, October 2024: Pennsylvania"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"wpb-content-wrapper\"><p>[vc_column][\/vc_column][vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text css=&#8221;.vc_custom_1729627411687{border-left-width: 6px !important;padding-left: 20px !important;border-left-style: solid !important;border-color: #6bc073 !important;}&#8221;]<\/p>\n<h3>Key Takeaways<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>Out of 12 Pennsylvania swing voters, six plan to vote for Kamala Harris and two plan to vote for Donald Trump.<\/li>\n<li>Four undecided voters are leaning toward Harris, but haven\u2019t made final decisions for a variety of reasons.<\/li>\n<li>Five respondents revealed that they believe the assassination attempt on Trump that took place in Butler, PA., may have been staged.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text css=&#8221;&#8221;]<\/p>\n<h3>In this Article<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"#anchor1\">Context for Pennsylvania Swing Voter Group<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"#anchor2\">Which Candidates Have Their Votes<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"#anchor3\">An Undecided Voter\u2019s Perspective<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"#anchor4\">How Harris Makes Voters Feel<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"#anchor5\">Views of a Female President<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"#anchor6\">Perspectives on Liz Cheney\u2019s Endorsement of Harris<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"#anchor7\">How Some Voters See the Assassination Attempt on Trump<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"#anchor8\">The State of the Economy<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"#anchor9\">Other Takeaways from Pennsylvania Swing Voters<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text css=&#8221;&#8221;]On Oct. 8, the Swing Voter Project spoke to 12 voters in Pennsylvania. They discussed which candidate they plan to vote for and their feelings about Kamala Harris. The voters also shared some surprising views about the attempted assassination of Donald Trump in Butler, PA., in July.<\/p>\n<p>An ongoing collaboration between Sago and Engagious, the Swing Voter Project talks to voters in key battleground states each month. Topics include the candidates for president and current events and issues that might affect their votes. The focus group participants voted for Donald Trump in 2016 and Joe Biden in 2020.[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text css=&#8221;&#8221;]https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=3-qgZBTslAs[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text css=&#8221;&#8221;]<\/p>\n<h3 id=\"anchor1\">Context for Pennsylvania Swing Voter Group<\/h3>\n<p>In 1787, the United States Constitution was written in Philadelphia. The same year, Pennsylvania became the second state. Pennsylvania residents have cast their votes in every U.S. presidential election.<\/p>\n<p>Over the last century, however, the state has lost electoral votes as its population has declined. In 2024, this crucial battleground state has 19 electoral votes. In 2020, state residents chose Biden over Trump by 1.2%. In 2016, Pennsylvania\u2019s electoral votes went to Trump by only 0.7%.<\/p>\n<h3 id=\"anchor2\">Which Candidates Have Their Votes<\/h3>\n<p>Six of the 12 Pennsylvania swing voters plan to vote for Kamala Harris. Two are firmly committed to voting for Donald Trump.<\/p>\n<p>The other four voters are leaning toward casting votes for Harris but are open to changing their minds to vote for Trump. Two of these four say their support for Harris is 60\/40. They want to see how both candidates handle events in the last few weeks before the election before they make a final decision.<\/p>\n<p>The third undecided respondent is a split-ticket voter. They plan to choose whichever presidential candidate comes from the party that is unlikely to win a Senate majority next year. On the day of the focus groups, this voter anticipated a GOP Senate majority and said they would vote for Harris as a counterbalance.<\/p>\n<h3 id=\"anchor3\">An Undecided Voter\u2019s Perspective<\/h3>\n<p>The fourth undecided voter was still equally divided on whether to support Harris or Trump. Here\u2019s what they said about being undecided this late in the race:[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text css=&#8221;&#8221; el_class=&#8221;greenpostquote&#8221;]\u201cIt\u2019s my own opinion. I really feel like I\u2019m a true independent and I look at both sides. I like to know what\u2019s going on until, really, my hand is kind of forced.\u201d[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text css=&#8221;&#8221;]This voter has an intense dislike for both candidates. Here\u2019s what they had to say about Trump:<\/p>\n<p><em>\u201cI\u2019m afraid he would go back and retaliate against people who he perceived slighted him in any way, go after Stormy Daniels, go after all these people that he threw under a bus, and just spawn hatred and negativity against different populations.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s what they said about Harris:<\/p>\n<p><em>\u201cWith Harris, the social issues, a lot of them I don\u2019t agree with because of my religious beliefs. I feel like [it\u2019s] going to be sliding into socialism because of what\u2019s going on with Medicare and liberal policies. I am very concerned.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<h3 id=\"anchor4\">How Harris Makes Voters Feel<\/h3>\n<p>Since Harris announced her candidacy, voters have been asked to describe their emotions when they see her onscreen. Here\u2019s what the Pennsylvania swing voters had to say about Harris:<\/p>\n<p><em>\u201cI feel pity.\u201d<\/em><br \/>\n<em>\u201cI\u2019m mixed about this. I feel uneasy.\u201d<\/em><br \/>\n<em>\u201cA little uncertain.\u201d<\/em><br \/>\n<em>\u201cConcerned.\u201d<\/em><br \/>\n<em>\u201cCautiously optimistic for the future.\u201d<\/em><br \/>\n<em>\u201cVery cautiously optimistic.\u201d<\/em><br \/>\n<em>\u201cI feel uncertain when I see her.\u201d<\/em><br \/>\n<em>\u201cConfusion\u201d<\/em><br \/>\n<em>\u201cI feel laughter.\u201d<\/em><br \/>\n<em>\u201cHopeful.\u201d<\/em><br \/>\n<em>\u201cRelieved.\u201d<\/em><br \/>\n<em>\u201cMixed emotions. On one hand, excited and, on the other hand, I\u2019m unsure.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<h3 id=\"anchor5\">Voters Views of a Female President<\/h3>\n<p>During the presidential race, there has been speculation that Harris faces a particularly challenging path to becoming president because she\u2019s a woman. These voters were asked if some people are concerned about having a female president and if those concerns would affect how people vote. Six of them said yes.<\/p>\n<p>Here\u2019s what they said about people\u2019s reasons for those concerns:<\/p>\n<p><em>\u201cJust pure chauvinism \u2026 There are some men who don\u2019t care what Trump says, like he could walk across the stage butt naked tomorrow and they will still vote for him because they don\u2019t want a woman to be in office.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u201cI think there\u2019s a lot of the classic stereotypical arguments, like women are too emotional and they\u2019re not forceful enough, so, then, they\u2019re not going to be as effective in foreign policy, particularly with regards to countries that are a little bit more traditional or conservative and don\u2019t allow women in any roles of power.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u201cFor those people that don\u2019t believe that now\u2019s the right time for a female president, I think a lot of those folks are concerned of the ability to deal with China, Russia and the extremists in the Middle East.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u201cBecause we\u2019ve never had a female president. So, while, yes, she\u2019s been the vice president, she doesn\u2019t have quite the presence that a president has. I don\u2019t think the American people have seen a female in that position before, to be able to get a good feel for it, but somebody has to break the ice and go for it.\u201d<\/em>[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text css=&#8221;&#8221;]<\/p>\n<h3 id=\"anchor6\">Perspectives on Liz Cheney\u2019s Endorsement of Harris<\/h3>\n<p>When the two Trump supporters and the four undecided Pennsylvania swing voters were shown a clip of Liz Cheney\u2019s endorsement of Harris, only one person responded favorably to it. The others made comments that included:<\/p>\n<p><em>\u201cThese are people who look out for themselves. They turn on each other at the drop of a hat. You know they were talking smack about Kamala whenever ago and now, all of a sudden, they\u2019re for her. It\u2019s just nonsense.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u201cIf Liz Cheney was to endorse Harris, I would think she\u2019d have a lot more control over Harris. I think she\u2019d be her Secretary of Defense or something and I probably would be running to vote for Trump at that point.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u201cI just find it hard to believe that somebody would go from being a Republican like that to wanting to work for the Democrats or blatantly endorsing a Democrat, so it doesn\u2019t affect me in any way.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<h3 id=\"anchor7\">How Some Voters See the Assassination Attempt on Trump<\/h3>\n<p>In July, during a rally in Butler, Pa., a gunman attempted to assassinate Trump. The October focus groups took place a few days after Trump returned to Butler for a campaign rally.<\/p>\n<p>When asked about the July incident, five of the Pennsylvania swing voters think that the assassination attempt may have been staged. Here\u2019s what two of them had to say:<\/p>\n<p><em>\u201cI don\u2019t believe any of it was real, you know, I don\u2019t. And I\u2019m not a conspiracy theory person and I\u2019ve been a Republican for over 40 years. I think the whole thing was staged and I don\u2019t care that he went back.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u201cI think that no matter how well or poorly financially supported the Secret Service is by our government, there\u2019s no way that they miss an adolescent teenager climbing on a roof with an assault weapon and allow him to fire off a few rounds at a presidential candidate in a small area that they would have had locked down easily.\u201d<\/em>[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row el_class=&#8221;mainpostimgbox&#8221; conditional_render=&#8221;%5B%7B%22value_role%22%3A%22administrator%22%7D%5D&#8221;][vc_column conditional_render=&#8221;%5B%7B%22value_role%22%3A%22administrator%22%7D%5D&#8221;][vc_row_inner equal_height=&#8221;yes&#8221; content_placement=&#8221;middle&#8221; el_class=&#8221;mainpostimgboxinner&#8221;][vc_column_inner el_class=&#8221;mainpostimgboximg&#8221;][\/vc_column_inner][\/vc_row_inner][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text css=&#8221;&#8221;]<\/p>\n<h3 id=\"anchor8\">The State of the Economy<\/h3>\n<p>The Pennsylvania swing voters are concerned about the country\u2019s economy. Seven of them said the U.S. economy is in lousy shape. Eight said their wages have not kept up with their expenses in the past few months. Only three of these 12 voters believe that the economy is improving.<\/p>\n<h3 id=\"anchor9\">Other Takeaways from Pennsylvania Swing Voters<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>Three of these Pennsylvania swing voters said that fracking is a major issue for them during this election.<\/li>\n<li>Nine watched some or all of the vice-presidential debate. None of them changed their plans to vote based on what they saw in the debate.<\/li>\n<li>If these voters had to place a $50 bet on the outcome of the 2024 election, eight would put their money on Harris. Four of these voters would bet on Trump.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Though the 2024 election is just weeks away, you still have time to catch up on previous editions of the Swing Voter Project. And stay tuned for a final check-in with swing voters after the election on Nov. 5.[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text css=&#8221;&#8221; el_class=&#8221;calloutmatte&#8221;]<\/p>\n<h4>Need insights from the perfect participants? Connect with our team now!<\/h4>\n<p><a class=\"button\" href=\"https:\/\/sago.com\/en\/get-in-touch\/request-a-consultation\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Get started<\/a>[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row]<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p> Find out what Pennsylvania swing voters think about the candidates and having a female president.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":9004111222028105,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"aside","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"content-type":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[13940],"tags":[],"video":[],"filter_name_method":[],"filter_name_product":[],"class_list":["post-9004111222026624","post","type-post","status-publish","format-aside","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-insights","post_format-post-format-aside"],"acf":[],"featured_image_src":{"landsacpe":["https:\/\/sago.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/pennsylvania-map-highway-road-sign-blue-background-1140x445.jpg",1140,445,true],"list":["https:\/\/sago.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/pennsylvania-map-highway-road-sign-blue-background-463x348.jpg",463,348,true],"medium":["https:\/\/sago.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/pennsylvania-map-highway-road-sign-blue-background-300x200.jpg",300,200,true],"full":["https:\/\/sago.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/pennsylvania-map-highway-road-sign-blue-background-scaled.jpg",2048,1365,false]},"yoast_head":"<!-- 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